Early Monsoon : Weather, Road Conditions & River Levels

Ernie · Posted: Tue Nov 30, 2010 3:08 pm Post subject: Early Monsoon

Maybe a monsoon mid Dec according the the BOM gurus :mrgreen:

Bring it on

culvert bashing with me boys at xmas :fishing:

Tropical climate Note

Quote:

Madden-Julian Oscillation event on the cards
Since the strong MJO event of early October, the signal has been mostly weak and its movement erratic. However, guidance surveyed by the Bureau suggests that this inactive MJO phase is about to end.

The majority of computer models surveyed are now hinting at the redevelopment of an MJO over the eastern Indian Ocean over the coming 2 weeks. If the scenario pans out, this will have far reaching implications on Australia’s weather during December.

Given this development scenario, it is likely that the potential for tropical cyclogenesis in the eastern Indian Ocean will increase significantly towards the second week of December, with the moderate-to-high risk extending eastwards during subsequent weeks. With eastward propagation of the MJO, northern Australia could experience enhanced rainfall during the second and third weeks of December.

If an active MJO was to enter Australian longitudes around the middle of December, as predicted by the majority of computer models, the probability of Australian Monsoon onset prior to Christmas in Darwin would be moderate to high.

lincoln · Posted: Tue Nov 30, 2010 3:18 pm Post subject: Re: Early Monsoon

Sh*t thanks Ernie ive got a 2 day charter booked in the 2nd week of Dec!!

Hope the weather bureua have got it wrong as usual Ha ha!!

erudebill · Posted: Tue Nov 30, 2010 5:38 pm Post subject: Re: Early Monsoon

Thanks Ernie,

Good to see they are saving it for my holidays.

max · Posted: Tue Nov 30, 2010 8:58 pm Post subject: Re: Early Monsoon

Weather forecasters & pollies how long would they last in privare business :hunting:

nomad · Posted: Wed Dec 01, 2010 10:01 am Post subject: Re: Early Monsoon

I once heard a weather man say “ It's a prediction not a report. If you want a report, wait until tomorrow” :rofl:

andrew.south · Posted: Wed Dec 01, 2010 11:05 am Post subject: Re: Early Monsoon

nomad wrote:

I once heard a weather man say “ It's a prediction not a report. If you want a report, wait until tomorrow” :rofl:

Good one... :rofl:

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