EL Nino 2015?
- Matt Flynn
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Re: EL Nino 2015?
Issued 3 March 2015
Madden–Julian Oscillation
The Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) has been weak and indiscernible for almost three weeks, meaning that it has provided little guidance on recent tropical weather variability. It is possible that the MJO will remain indescernible. However, some models indicate a very weak pulse of MJO activity may develop in the western tropical Indian Ocean in the coming days, move slowly eastwards and influence the Maritime Continent later this week or early next week. If the MJO strengthens over the Maritime Continent, the north Australian monsoon trough is likely to become more active, although it is uncertain whether the monsoon trough will move over the continent or remain offshore to the north of the continent. The risk of tropical cyclone activity over Australia's northern waters will increase next week if the monsoon trough becomes more active.
Madden–Julian Oscillation
The Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) has been weak and indiscernible for almost three weeks, meaning that it has provided little guidance on recent tropical weather variability. It is possible that the MJO will remain indescernible. However, some models indicate a very weak pulse of MJO activity may develop in the western tropical Indian Ocean in the coming days, move slowly eastwards and influence the Maritime Continent later this week or early next week. If the MJO strengthens over the Maritime Continent, the north Australian monsoon trough is likely to become more active, although it is uncertain whether the monsoon trough will move over the continent or remain offshore to the north of the continent. The risk of tropical cyclone activity over Australia's northern waters will increase next week if the monsoon trough becomes more active.
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- Seadog
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Re: EL Nino 2015?
Yep DH, the BOM are so accurate, you guys are the smartest people I've ever come across, just so good at your job. If only it was private enterprise and you could actually get the arse for being so incompetent! How many people have got themselves in the shiit due to you guys getting it completely wrong?? I know I'm one. I think we're better off sticking our heads out the window and looking at the clouds, you'd get a better forecast.
Chris
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Re: EL Nino 2015?
The BOM don't make people go boating Mac10. That's up to your judgement.........
I don't work for the BOM, never have..........
I don't work for the BOM, never have..........
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